4.1.3 Conducting a Comprehensive Foresight Study of Human Potential
Alexander Sokolov
Project Leader
Project period
2022-2023
Context of Research Project within a Subject of Human Capital
Economic and social systems are transforming under the influence of new technologies, and the reflection of these processes in the patterns of population behavior, business strategies, social institutions and the agenda of public administration is a key global trend that has determined the development of human potential and an increase in its contribution to sustainable development. The need to deepen understanding of the role of man in the economy and society in a rapidly changing technological environment, research into the future, involving the development of long-term development forecasts, taking into account technologies that can make a significant contribution to finding answers to counter fundamental changes in economic and social relations, as well as opportunities for their implementations are becoming more and more relevant.
The research project Conducting a Comprehensive Foresight Study of Human Potential is focused on a person and his life and will include a comprehensive assessment of the impact of technology on improving human health, developing his abilities, mitigating social inequality and injustice, and its results will become the basis for making managerial decisions and setting priorities funding for research and development.
Project Aim
Creating a target vision of the prospects for the development of areas of human potential research in Russia, as well as proposals for its implementation
Project Objectives:
1.Analyze the prospects for the development of areas of human potential research in Russia
2.Identify promising areas of scientific and technological development of human potential and prepare proposals for their implementation
Key Findings
2020
The research project has been implemented since 2022
2021
The research project has been implemented since 2022
2022
A sociological survey of public opinion has been conducted on the attitude to ethical issues related to the spread of biohacking and human enhancement technologies. More than 2000 people from all regions of Russia took part in the online survey. The main questions concerned the general attitude to new technologies of human enhancement (the use of various technologies for oneself and one's child, the purposes of their use, the reasons for refusing them, the amounts that a person is willing to spend on them), as well as to digital technologies in people's daily lives ( virtual assistants, assistant robots, unmanned vehicles, smart home technologies, etc.), trust in artificial intelligence technologies in everyday life (for driving a car, choosing a profession, making a diagnosis, selecting medicines, making court decisions, etc.).
The percentage of respondents willing to use biohacking technologies
Educational Programs
Educational modules Governance of Science, Technology and Innovation
Projects of young scientists within the framework of the competition of the Foundation for the Development of Applied Research
Publications
- Report Breakthrough Innovations: Human 2.0. Authors: S. Gavrish, L. Gokhberg, D. Gribkova, Yu. Dyugovanets, A. Efimov, Yu. Milshina, D. Payson, A. Sokolov , S. Chernogortseva. National Research University Higher School of Economics. — M.: NRU HSE, 2022.
- Sokolova A., Lobanova P., Kuzminov I. (2024) Identifying emerging trends and hot topics through intelligent data mining: the case of clinical psychology and psychotherapy //foresight. – 2024. – Т. 26. – №. 1. – С. 155-180. doi
RIA
Gokhberg L.M., Sokolov A.V., Zakharov M.A., Aleshkevich A.A., Svarchevskaya M.V., Lobanova P.A. Computer program "Probabilistic assessment of positivity and negativity of fragments of texts in English of socio-humanitarian and socio-economic orientation, including those devoted to the problems of human development, based on a machine learning model". Certificate of state registration of the computer program No. 2023680645 dated 04.10.2023
Gokhberg L.M., Sokolov A.V., Zakharov M.A., Antasheva M.S., Isaeva Y.K. Computer program "Probabilistic assessment of positivity and negativity of fragments of texts in Chinese of socio-humanitarian and socio-economic orientation, including those devoted to the problems of human development, based on a machine learning model". Certificate of state registration of the computer program No. 2023680870 dated 06.10.2023
Gokhberg L.M., Sokolov A.V., Svarchevskaya M.V., Lobanova P.A. Computer program "Methodology for frequency analysis of mentions of global trends with predominantly high absolute occurrence in texts of socio-humanitarian and socio-economic orientation, including those devoted to the problems of human development." Certificate of state registration of the computer program No. 2023681261 dated 11.10.2023
Gokhberg L.M., Grebenyuk A.Yu., Milshina Yu.V., Polyakova V.V. Database "Database of results of a public opinion poll on attitudes to ethical issues related to the spread of biohacking and human improvement technologies". Certificate of state registration of the database No. 2023624559 dated 11.12.2023
Conferences
XXIII Yasin (April) International Scientific Conference on Problems of Economic and Social Development(Moscow, Russia, April 5-22, 2022):
- International Scientific Symposium "Foresight and Scientific, Technical and Innovation Policy" (April 6 and 8, 2022)
- Special round table "Breakthrough innovations: Man 2.0" within the framework of Special Section B (April 20, 2022)
XII International Scientific Conference "Foresight and Scientific, Technical and Innovation Policy" of the HSE ISSEK (November 22-25, 2022)
Specialized seminar of Foresight and STI Governance magazine in the round table format "Economics of Complexity and hidden Sources of Growth" (Moscow, Russia, December 22, 2022)