The World-Class Human Capital Multidisciplinary Research Centre and the UNESCO Futures Studies Chair (UNESCO Futures Literacy Chairs network) presents the results of a human capital development trends study of the National Research University Higher School of Economics Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge (HSE ISSEK).
The study methodology included big data mining using the HSE ISSEK-developed iFORA system, expert sessions, and a Delphi survey of more than 400 leading international and Russian scientists specialising in human capital.
A complete list of trends is available in the unique open-access database.
Trendletter #4 (01/20223) Ecology and Environment. Accelerating the Processes of Climate Change (RU)
Many of the destructive effects of climate change observed today are larger than those that have occurred over the past few centuries, and some (for example, sea level rise) may become irreversible. If the same greenhouse gas emissions remain in the 2020s, warming in the 21st century may exceed 2 °C.
According to the study, global warming will be accompanied by intensive precipitation, more frequent floods in some regions and droughts in others, melting of permafrost and glaciers, sea level rise, ocean acidification, a decrease in oxygen content in it, etc.
Trendletter #3 (11/2022) Politics and Regulation. International Order Regionalization (RU)
Today, it is within the framework of regional institutions that more modern and flexible rules of interstate cooperation are being developed, while the importance of the old international structures is declining.
Fragmentation of the world political order, regionalization of economic ties and the international legal system, emergence of new mechanisms of cooperation, cardinal restructuring of the world monetary and financial system are the main trends of the foreseeable future.
Trendletter #2 (10/2022) Healthcare. Transition to Preventive and Personalized Medicine (RU)
Progress in the field of genomic and cellular technologies, medical bioinformatics and active introduction of information technologies in medicine allowed us to move to a new model of medical care based on an individual approach to the patient.
The key elements of preventive medicine are early diagnosis systems, vaccination, as well as regular monitoring of individual human health parameters, including using wearable devices. The transition to preventive medicine will significantly contribute to reducing the burden on the primary health care sector.
Trendletter #1 (09/2022) Economy. Distributing Customer-centric Business Models (RU)
Focusing on the fastest possible customer’s needs satisfaction is the main characteristic of modern customer centric models. The service economy assumes that the consumer receives not just a product, but a solution to the problem (product-as-a-service).
Following the service and rank economy, the economy of impressions is gaining momentum. Goods and services are evaluated not so much by their objective characteristics as by their symbolic meaning for the consumer. In the future, it will give way to the transformation economy.