Human Capital Multidisciplinary Research Center

Global Trends of Deglobalization

The focus of development is shifting from the global to the regional level. The main trends of the foreseeable future –  the fragmentation of the world political order, the regionalization of economic relations and the international legal system, the emergence of new mechanisms of cooperation – are the main topic of the new issue of trendletters, produced as part of a joint project of the Human Capital Multidisciplinary Research Center and the UNESCO Futures Studies Chair (UNESCO Futures Literacy Chairs network).

Global Trends of Deglobalization

НЦМУ

For reference: This series of trendsetters continues the practice of publishing reviews of global technological trends since 2014 and presents a unique database of global trends and challenges in the field of human development. This research of the HSE ISSEK is based on the results of iFORA Big Data System, the Delphi survey (with the participation of more than 400 leading foreign and Russian scientists), expert sessions and interviews.

Global power centers often demonstrate an inability to come to an agreement on a number of international issues. The leading national states actively defend the right to adhere to their own political and value orientations and assert leadership based on economic levers, including through the creation of mega-regional projects that set standards and norms of interaction.

The reformatting of the international order leads to a redistribution of forces between global and regional Powers. The importance of the old international structures is decreasing, as more flexible rules of cooperation are often developed within the framework of interregional projects.

The regional security component has gained special importance against the background of the COVID19 pandemic, which has shown the danger of interdependence and the value of self-sufficiency. At the same time, many modern challenges are global in nature (migration, the effects of climate change, the same pandemic), and they can only be answered by joint actions.

The new issue of trendletter is available at the link.

Previous issues of trendletters can be found here.