7.3.2 Spatial Analysis of the Factors of Regional Distribution of Human Potential in Russia and in the World
Igor Okunev
Project Leader
Project period
2020-2025
Context of Research Project within a Subject of Human Capital
Being the largest state in the world, Russia faces the need to develop a strategy for the optimal distribution of human potential across its territory, which, on the one hand, makes it possible to increase the global competitiveness of the state on the world stage, and on the other hand, to ensure uniform spatial development of all subjects of the country
This problem can be solved with the help of mathematical methods of spatial analysis, previously used mainly in physical geography (for example, in meteorology and seismology)
Project Aim
Determinate spatial econometrics by means of quantitative methods and create geoinformation modeling of existing trends in the regional distribution of human potential in Russia and in the world and identification of factors determining this territorial differentiation
Project Objectives
- Create a database of spatial data on human potential indicators (demography, education, health, ecology, gender equality, socio-economic development, etc.) for all countries of the world and regions of Russia; assessment of the nature of spatial distribution for all human potential indicators (at the global, macro-regional (by continent) and national level (for Russia)
- Identify regional clusters of high and low values of human potential, their mapping at the global, macro-regional (by continent) and national level (for Russia)
- Determinate factors of regional distribution of human potential indicators
- Identify the most similar cases of spatial distribution of human potential with Russia and generalize best practices of state policy in the field of spatial development, comparison of the experience of foreign countries and development of recommendations for public authorities and civil society of Russia
Key Findings
2020
100 indicators reflecting various aspects of human development (demography, economics, finance, politics, equality, education and science, health, culture, ecology) with relevant statistics for all countries of the world have been collected, an author's cartographic basis for visualization and spatial analysis of data has been created.
2021
The database The Structure of Modern International Relations: Spatial Weights of Neighborhood Based on the Geopolitical Proximity of the States of the World has been developed and registered
2022
The database "The structure of modern international relations: spatial weights of neighborhood based on the geopolitical proximity of the world's states" has been developed and registered, which makes it possible to visually present a new political map of the world based on the similarity of the systemic behavior of states.
Publications
- Zhirnova L. Regional Trends in Electoral Support for Latvian Parties: the Neighbourhood Effect // Baltic Region. 2022. Vol. 14, no. 1, p. 138—158
- Okunev I, Zakharova E. The Greater Mediterranean as a Macroregion: Spatial Analysis (RU) // Polis. Political studies. 2022. No. 3. pp. 24-37
- Okunev I., Tislenko M. Geography of Socio-economic Inequality in the World (RU), Scientific Digest, Issue No. 2 (7). 2022
Empirical data bases
1. Database "The structure of modern international relations: spatial neighborhood weights based on the geopolitical proximity of the world's states", 2021
2. Database "Geoinformation database of human development indicators in the UN Member States", 2021
Tools
Neighborhood matrices for spatial analysis of human development indicators
RIA
Okunev I.Y. Database "The structure of modern international relations: spatial weights of neighborhood based on the geopolitical proximity of the world's states". Certificate of registration of the database 2021621744, 08/16/2021.
Okunev I.Yu., Barinov S.L., Domanov A.O., Zhirnova L.S., Zakharova E.A., Oskolkov P.V., Tislenko M.I., Shestakova M.N., Shmatkova L.P. Database "Geoinformation database of human development indicators in the UN Member States". Certificate of registration of the database 2022621830 dated 06/25/2022
Silaev N.Yu., Samoilovskaya N.A., Taran V.E., Neklyudov N.Ya. Database "The level of terrorist threat and budget expenditures in Dagestan, Ingushetia, Kabardino-Balkaria". Certificate of state registration of the database No.2023623136 dated 09/18/2023
Conferences
5th International Seminar of the Research Committee on Geopolitics of the International Association of Political Science (MGIMO Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russia, November 13, 2022)
Scientific Seminar "Human Capital and Economic Growth" (MGIMO Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russia, November 17, 2022)
The scientific seminar "The geopolitical matrix of the world's neighborhood for analyzing the specifics of human development policy" (from a series of scientific seminars and discussions aimed at contributing to the achievement of the national development goal of the Russian Federation to create conditions for the upbringing of a harmoniously developed and socially responsible personality. National Research University Higher School of Economics, September 22, 2022)
Presentation of the methodology of the Center for Spatial Analysis of Human Development at leading congresses of geographers and in selected foreign scientific centers:
- Mongolian State University (Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia, April 29 – May 7, 2023)
- 27th International Congress of the International Political Science Association (IPSA) (Buenos Aires, Argentina, June 16-17, 2023)
- New Era University (Quezon City, Philippines, August 22-26, 2023)
IV Political and Geographical Readings named after O.V.Vitkovsky (MGIMO University of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Russia, November 24-26, 2023)